Tuesday, March 23, 2010

ESPN.com: Simmons: Monday Night Diary

Excerpts from his diary of last night's fourth quarter:
6:39: And … that's why Jamal Crawford has been traded twice. He just jacked up a bad 20-footer with 12 seconds left on the shot clock even though Johnson has flames coming out of his head like an "NBA Jam" character. I like Crawford and thought he was a shrewd summer pickup for the Hawks, but it remains to be seen whether he'll win playoff games or shoot them out of the playoffs. Or maybe both.

4:48: Smith abuses Stackhouse with a lefty hook down low. (The Hawks lead the league in "Couldn't that guy post up anytime he wants?" guys.) After Salmons blows a spinning layup, Smith does the same move on Stack. Like an instant replay. After rebounding another Bucks miss, Smith rebounds a missed 3 and gets fouled. And that's why we love Josh Smith. He can take over games for 90 seconds at a time.

0:21: Really dumb foul by Johnson trying to deny Salmons the ball 30 feet from the hoop. Salmons drains the free throws. Thanks for the two free points, Joe. That play was enough to raise both of Mike Woodson's recently regrown eyebrows.
(HT: Brew Hoop)


Unknown said...

Does anyone know if John Hollinger factors in plays like the Joe Johnson foul on Salmon's in his "Estimated Wins Added" stat?

Bret LaGree said...

No, that's box score rather than play-by-play based analysis.

I've found reference to ProTrade (during the 2007 playoffs) and Advanced NFL stats (during last years playoffs) doing win probability graphs for playoff games but don't know of anybody doing that currently or of any open methodology.