Thursday, February 23, 2006

Preview: Kansas at Texas, Part Four

Click here for Part One (Team Stats)
Click here for Part Two (Backcourts)
Click here for Part Three (Rush v. Tucker)

stats glossary

Post players

The efficiency of the Kansas frontcourt, and the five players’ cumulative production, has been somewhat hidden because none of them average 20 minutes a game in league play.

PlayereFG%Pts/100PPWS%min
Wright58.824.91.1948.6
Kaun66.719.71.2345.5
Jackson55.625.91.2440.6
Giles52.620.91.1630.5
Moody58.916.41.2130.3
Aldridge50.726.01.1084.4
Buckman52.721.51.1773.3
Williams26.76.60.7023.8

Here are the cumulative scoring lines for the Kansas and Texas post players:

PlayereFG%Pts/100PPWS%min
KU58.722.01.2139.1
UT50.021.61.1036.3

LaMarcus Aldridge will be a lottery pick whenever he declares for the draft. For whatever reason, his production in Big 12 play has matched neither his talent nor the excellent production he provided in non-conference play.

PlayerFTAFT%FT Rate
Wright2157.114.1
Kaun3839.529.4
Jackson3479.442.9
Giles2965.550.0
Moody2356.546.4
Aldridge6665.231.6
Buckman3979.533.0
Williams862.533.3

Brad Buckman and Darnell Jackson are excellent free throw shooters. Aldridge is adequate. CJ Giles has shot better from the line as of late, but is below 60% on the season as are Kaun, Wright, and Moody.

Since Texas can’t afford for either Buckman or Aldridge to get into foul trouble they most likely be unable to take full advantage of the biggest Jayhawks’ struggles from the foul line.

PlayerOR%DR%TR%
Wright10.417.214.1
Kaun12.116.614.6
Jackson14.221.117.9
Giles12.120.416.6
Moody9.913.511.8
Aldridge10.718.014.5
Buckman12.414.313.4
Williams8.814.411.7

Here are the cumulative rebounding lines for the Kansas and Texas frontcourts:

PlayerOR%DR%TR%
KU11.817.815.0
UT11.116.013.7

Just as we saw with scoring numbers, the Texas post players, against Big 12 opposition, have been no more productive as rebounders than have the Kansas post players. The marginal advantage Texas has on the glass over Kansas comes from PJ Tucker being a better rebounder than Brandon Rush.

PlayerA/100TO/100S/100BS/100
Wright5.576.011.983.30
Kaun1.430.952.113.76
Jackson1.073.202.110.26
Giles1.064.971.404.91
Moody1.434.290.351.06
Aldridge0.862.582.272.98
Buckman3.644.791.473.27
Williams0.511.521.510.00

Of the post players, only Julian Wright and Brad Buckman are credited with very many assists and both have assist-to-turnover ratios of less than one. Aldridge doesn’t turn the ball over very often considering how many touches he gets. Sasha Kaun almost never turns the ball over and gets a surprising number of steals for a man his size.

Again, the cumulative lines are roughly equal:

PlayerA/100TO/100S/100BS/100
KU2.333.821.702.68
UT1.933.341.852.71

Kansas wins the post matchup if…
1)They get either Aldridge or Buckman in foul trouble.

Texas wins the post matchup if…
1)Aldridge and Buckman outscore and outrebound the five Kansas post players.

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