Monday, March 14, 2005

Albuquerque Region

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Washington 73 53.949.942.264.919.8251.171.00
vs.Tourney 70.5 525441.26519.420.81.141.13

Washington played 40.3% of their game against tournament teams (Utah, Oklahoma, Alabama, Gonzaga, NC State, Stanford (3), UCLA (2), Arizona (3)). Those teams played the Huskies to a near standstill largely by not turning the ball over. The Huskies are an outstanding offensive team, but they have to be because of their poor interior defense. Tournament-bound opponents didn't just outshoot Washington from the field, they shot 28% more free throws than did the Huskies.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Wake Forest 70.6 55.649.840.568.220.420.91.191.03
vs.Tourney 69.4 53.153.339.465.718.818.61.181.14

Wake Forest played 45.2% of their games against tournament teams (George Washington, Arizona, Illinois, Texas, New Mexico, North Carolina, Cincinnati, Georgia Tech (2), Duke (2), NC State (3)). Those teams took (37.2% of FGA) and made (40.1 3PT%) a lot of three pointers. Unlike Washington, another good rebounding team, Wake struggled to guard the perimeter players of their tournament-bound opponents. Like Washington, Wake still managed to outscore these opponents. The Deacons made up for their opponents' perimeter shooting by getting to the line an extra 7 times per game.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Gonzaga 67.3 55.248.638.569.820.118.31.181.03
vs.Tourney 69.1 53.951.435.567.61918.51.161.09

Gonzaga played 27.6% of their games against tournament teams (Illinois, Washington, Georgia Tech, Oklahoma St, St. Mary's (3), Montana). Tournament-bound opponents slowed down the game against both Washington and Wake Forest. Gonzaga gets to speed the game up when they play teams of equal ability. Gonzaga eschews the three-pointer (23.7% of FGA) and lives at the free throw line (1 FTA for every 2.1 FGA).

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Louisville 69.4 54.943.838.367.921251.170.91
vs.Tourney 67.9 54.246.932.865.822.420.21.111.03

Louisville played 30.3% of their games against tournament teams (Iowa, Stanford, Florida, Kentucky, E. Kentucky, Cincinnati (2), UAB (2), Charlotte). The Cardinals are easily the best defensive team in the region, though their rebounding and turnovers forced diminshed significantly against better opposition.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Georgia Tech 70.2 50.343.835.366.921.622.21.050.94
vs.Tourney 70.6 45.448.132.463.62120.90.991.08

Georgia Tech played 37.2% of their games against tournament teams (Gonzaga, Kansas, North Carolina (2), NC State (2), Wake Forest (2), Duke (3)). They struggled to score and rebound against these opponents.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Texas Tech 69.7 51.149.333.364.318.324.61.100.99
vs.Tourney 68.1 45.250.831.360.520.424.20.981.04

Texas Tech played 43.8% of their games against tournament teams (UTEP, Iowa, Oklahoma St (3), Texas (2), Oklahoma (3), Iowa St (2), Kansas). Those opponents kept the Red Raiders off the boards, forced turnovers, and limited their good looks. They could not keep Texas Tech off the free throw line nor could they get there themselves. Texas Tech sent their tournament bound opponents to the line less often than they did overall.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
WVirginia 63.6 52.350.429.965.417.823.41.101.03
vs.Tourney 63.3 50.351.927.761.618.421.81.051.11

West Virginia played 42.2% of their games against tournament teams (LSU, George Washington, NC State, Villanova (2), Boston College (3), Syracuse (2), UConn, Pittsburgh (2)). The Mountaineers don't defend or rebound very well and they attempt to make up for those deficiencies by not turning the ball over and shooting a ton of threes (48.8% of FGA against tournament teams).

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Pacific 63.1 56.246.734.670.221.917.51.140.99
vs.Tourney 62.2 49.846.926.666.718.5151.041.06

Pacific played 21.4% of their games against tournament teams (Kansas, Nevada, Utah St (3), UTEP). Those teams beat up on the Tigers inside, grabbing more rebounds and getting to the free throw line more often than the average opponent, almost forgoing the three-point shot. Tournament-bound opponents attempted only 26.9% of their field goals from behind the arc against Pacific.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Pittsburgh 63.4 52.846.144.368.122.920.21.130.98
vs.Tourney 63.2 49.547.844.467.923.417.41.091.07

Pittsburgh played 35.8% of their games against tournament teams (Bucknell, UConn (2), Syracuse (2), W. Virginia (2), Villanova (2), Boston College). The Panthers are built almost entirely around rebounding (and scheduling cupcakes). Against good opponents, Pittsburgh struggles to make shots (and free throws), turns the ball over, and isn't very good defensively.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Creighton 63.5 53.449.530.564.518.722.91.121.01
vs.Tourney 64.2 58.554.3306318.120.91.181.11

Creighton played 15% of their games against tournament teams (S. Illinois (2), Chattanooga, Northern Iowa (2)). Not a strong group of opponents but that's still some good shooting. They'll need that in the tournament as they neither defend nor rebound very well.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
UCLA 69.5 50.94935.569.422.9251.051.01
vs.Tourney 74.7 47.150.233.765.324.921.10.951.07

UCLA played 28.2% of their games against tournament teams (Boston College, Michigan St, Washington (2), Arizona (2), Stanford (2)). The Bruins played those games at their opponent's pace and paid the price across the board.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
GW 69.5 52.348.837.866.821.425.21.110.96
vs.Tourney 76.2 50.857.239.167.725.4251.041.10

George Washington played 10.3% of their games against tournament teams (Wake Forest, Michigan St, West Virginia). They atempted to run with Wake and Michigan State and suceeded in doing so against the Spartans. The Colonials will likely suffer against stronger opposition from their reliance on the inside game (only 25.6% of overall FGA attempts from three-point land) offensively.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
UL-Lafayette 68.3 50.25139.965.922.625.71.061.00
vs.Tourney 71.7 47.358.538.764.729.624.50.91.13

Louisiana-Lafayette played 16.6% of their games against tournament teams (S. Illinois, NC State, Kansas, Charlotte, LSU). The only thing they did well against those teams was rebound.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Winthrop 63.7 51.146.134.669.72224.41.060.93

Winthrop didn't play any tournament-bound teams. Those rebounding numbers should suffer against Gonzaga. Winthrop's also unlikely to continue going to the line more frequently than their opponents when Turiaf and Morrison are on the other bench.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Chattanooga 69.9 50.548.639.475.124.522.551.050.94
vs.Tourney 66.7 47.474.633.359.319.515.21.021.52

Chattanooga got killed at Creighton earlier in the year. The Bluejays aren't a good rebounding team, but they took the air out of Chattanooga's gaudy overall rebounding numbers. The Bluejays are a good shooting team and made 20 of 30 three-point attempts. Wake's good at what Chattanooga's bad at, and better at what they're good at.

TEAM Poss/40 eFG%opp eFG%OR%DR%TO%opp TO%PPPopp PPP
Montana 68.3 51.247.632.370.424.920.11.010.99
vs.Tourney 70 50.954.428.867.727.116.10.911.19

Things didn't go well when Montana played at Gonzaga and at Stanford this year. Washington should run them off the court.

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