Friday, January 06, 2017

Why Rebuild?

Wins and expected wins (based on point differential) for the Atlanta Hawks over the last two-plus seasons, presented visually:

Despite the current five game winning streak, the Hawks still have a significantly worse point differential than the last two seasons. Two of their top three and three of their top five players by BPM are 31 or older and will be free agents at the end of the season.

I prefer the teams I support to be smarter than me, but seeing a team come to terms with what they really are provides a certain comfort. 

Next: patience to see if enough small decisions are well-made and hope that the opportunity to make a big decision materializes.

NOTE: 2016-17 wins are pro-rated based on the current .556 win percentage.