Performance in At-risk Games: Big 12 through 2/15/07

Team	Eff Margin	Record
Kansas	+21	9-2
Texas A&M	+15	9-2
Texas	+12	8-3
Oklahoma	+8	6-5
Kansas St	+3	7-4
Missouri	-1	4-7
Texas Tech	-2	5-6
Nebraska	-4	4-6
Iowa St	-7	4-7
Oklahoma St	-10	5-5
Baylor	-15	2-9
Colorado	-21	2-9

Disclaimer: Obviously, all at-risk games (all losses plus road/neutral wins plus home wins against NCAA Tournament teams) are not created equally so I'll provide more information than just the numbers. I am listing teams in order of efficiency margin (points scored per 100 possessions minus points allowed per 100 possessions) simply as an organizational choice. These are not rankings.

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Kansas	9-4	106	93	+13
vs. Big 12	9-2	112	91	+21

Wins: vs. Ball State (+25), vs. Florida (+7), vs. Toledo (+16), @South Carolina (+25), @Iowa State (+2), @Baylor (+36), @Nebraska (+30), @Missouri (+21), @Colorado (+40)

Losses: Oral Roberts (-14), @DePaul (-11), @Texas Tech (-9), Texas A&M (0)

Also: USC (+14), Boston College (+25), Oklahoma State (+38)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Texas A&M	6-4	110	99	+11
vs. Big 12	9-2	111	96	+15

Wins: @Auburn (+42), Winthrop (+36), @Baylor (+19), @Colorado (+24), @Kansas (0), @Nebraska (+20)

Losses: @LSU (-21), vs. UCLA (-5), @Texas Tech (-6), Texas Tech (-1)

Also: Oklahoma State (+26), Texas (+25)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Texas	5-7	110	111	-1
vs. Big 12	8-3	119	107	+12

Wins: @St. John's (+3), vs. LSU (+2), @Colorado (+31), @Nebraska (-3), @Texas Tech (+19)

Losses: vs. Michigan State (-5), vs. Gonzaga (-11), @Tennessee (-3), @Oklahoma State (-5), @Villanova (-14), Kansas State (-4), @Texas A&M (-25)

Also: Oklahoma State (+39)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Texas Tech	8-10	105	107	-2
vs. Big 12	5-6	105	107	-2

Wins: @UTEP (+21), @TCU (+11), @Louisiana Tech (+17), vs. Arkansas (+25), @Kansas State (+19), Kansas (+9), Texas A&M (+6), @Texas A&M (+1)

Losses: vs. Marquette (-16), vs. Air Force (-27), @Stanford (-13), UNLV (-10), @Baylor (-3), @Missouri (-21), Texas (-19), @Oklahoma (-26), Nebraska (-4), @Oklahoma State (-2)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Kansas St	7-8	100	105	-5
vs. Big 12	7-4	107	104	+3

Wins: @Rutgers (+22), @North Dakota State (+3), vs. USC (+20), vs. New Mexico (+24), @Missouri (+9), @Iowa State (+15), @Texas (+4)

Losses: @New Mexico (-31), @California (-43), @Colorado State (-7), @Xavier (-14), @Texas A&M (-5), Texas Tech (-19), @Kansas (-35), @Nebraska (-16)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Nebraska	5-9	102	107	-5
vs. Big 12	4-6	101	105	-4

Wins: vs. Wyoming (+22), vs. Houston (+19), @Miami, FL (+25), @Missouri (+16), @Texas Tech (+4)

Losses: @Rutgers (-7), vs. Oregon (-26), @Hawaii (-11), @Iowa State (-15), @Oklahoma (-26), Texas (+3), @Kansas State (-21), Kansas (-30), Texas A&M (-20)

Also: Creighton (+17)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Missouri	2-9	101	107	-6
vs. Big 12	4-7	104	105	-1

Wins: @Colorado (+23), @Iowa State (+34)

Losses: @Purdue (-23), vs. Illinois (-4), Iowa State (+2), @Texas (-33), Kansas State (-9), @Kansas (-6), @Kansas State (-12), Nebraska (-16), Kansas (-21)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Oklahoma St	5-6	98	106	-8
vs. Big 12	5-5	98	108	-10

Wins: vs. Auburn (+2), vs. Missouri State (+6), vs. Syracuse (+4), vs. Ball State (+33), vs. Pittsburgh (+4)

Losses: vs. Tennessee (-5), @Kansas (-38), @Texas A&M (-26), @Colorado (-21), @Oklahoma (-14), @Texas (-39)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Oklahoma	2-9	93	104	-11
vs. Big 12	6-5	108	100	+8

Wins: @Tulsa (+15), @Baylor (+7)

Losses: vs. Memphis (-20), vs. Purdue (-5), Villanova (-20), @Alabama (-24), @Texas Tech (-21), @Texas (-14), @Oklahoma State (-9), @Texas A&M (-17), @Iowa State (-16)

Also: Oklahoma State (+14)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Iowa St	2-12	91	107	-16
vs. Big 12	4-7	94	101	-7

Wins: @Minnesota (+5), @Missouri (-2)

Losses: @Northern Iowa (-19), Drake (-1), @Iowa (-27), vs. Bradley (-12), @Ohio State (-33), Kansas (-2), @Colorado (-10), Kansas State (-15), @Oklahoma State (-21), @Texas A&M (-34), Missouri (-34), @Texas (-14)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Baylor	1-12	96	114	-18
vs. Big 12	2-9	100	115	-15

Win: vs. Colorado State (+6)

Losses: @Gonzaga (-16), South Carolina (-4), @Syracuse (-31), @Oklahoma State (-7), Texas A&M (-19), @Kansas State (-17), @Oklahoma (-58), Kansas (-36), @Texas (-9), @Iowa State (-19), Oklahoma (-7), @Missouri (-7)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Colorado	1-15	87	113	-26
vs. Big 12	2-9	92	113	-21

Win: @Utah (0)

Losses: @New Mexico (-55), Air Force (-57), Wyoming (-4), @UNC-Wilmington (-14), Pepperdine (-10), Colorado State (-8), Texas (-32), @Oklahoma (-36), Texas A&M (-24), @Nebraska (-36), Missouri (-23), @Kansas (-29), @Baylor (-15), @Kansas State (-27), Kansas (-40)

Also: Oklahoma State (+21)