Performance in At-risk Games: Pac-10 through 1/22/07

Conference standings (by average efficiency margin) through 1/22/07

Team	Eff Margin	Record
USC	+15	5-2
Washington St	+15	5-2
UCLA	+9	6-1
Oregon	+8	6-1
Arizona	+4	4-4
Stanford	+1	4-3
Cal	-4	4-3
Washington	-12	1-6
Arizona St	-16	0-8
Oregon St	-18	1-6

Disclaimer: Obviously, all at-risk games (all losses plus road/neutral wins plus home wins against NCAA Tournament teams) are not created equally so I'll provide more information than just the numbers. I am listing teams in order of efficiency margin (points scored per 100 possessions minus points allowed per 100 possessions) simply as an organizational choice. These are not rankings.

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Washington St	10-3	106	96	+10
vs. Pac10	5-2	109	94	+15

Wins: vs. UAB (+18), @UW-Milwaukee (+35), vs. Radford (+27), vs. Boise State (+3), Gonzaga (+14), @Idaho (+18), vs. San Diego State (+20), @USC (+5), Arizona (+7), @Cal (+27)
Losses: @Utah (-22), @UCLA (-5), @Stanford (-4)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Oregon	7-1	109	101	+8
vs. Pac10	6-1	118	110	+8

Wins: @Rice (+8), @Georgetown (+10), vs. Nebraska (+26), @Oregon State (+4), UCLA (+4), @Arizona State (+5), @Arizona (+7)
Loss: USC (+1)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
UCLA	7-1	106	98	+8
vs. Pac10	6-1	107	99	+8

Wins: vs.Kentucky (+5), vs. Georgia Tech (+26), vs. Texas A&M (+5), Washington State (+5), @Oregon State (+23), @USC (-2), Arizona (+8)
Loss: @Oregon (-4)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
USC	5-5	102	97	+5
vs. Pac10	5-2	110	95	+15

Wins: vs. George Washington (+16), vs. Wichita State (+1), @Oregon (-1), @Oregon State (+66), Arizona (+12)
Losses: South Carolina (-6), @Kansas (-14), vs. Kansas State (-20), Washington State (-5), UCLA (+2)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Arizona	5-5	111	107	+4
vs. Pac10	4-4	116	112	+4

Wins: vs. Illinois (+14), vs. Louisville (+12), @San Diego State (+34), Memphis (+13), @Washington (+8)
Loss: @Virginia (-11), @Washington State (-7), Oregon (-7), @USC (-12), @UCLA (-8)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Cal	6-7	107	113	-6
vs. Pac10	4-3	111	115	-4

Wins: vs. Marshall (+6), vs. Hawaii (+23), vs. Loyola Marymount (+8), @Arizona State (+2), @Stanford (+2), @Oregon State (+11)
Losses: @San Diego State (-11), vs. Nevada (-11), San Diego (-10), @DePaul (-45), @Arizona (-12), Washington State (-27), @Oregon (-12)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Stanford	6-5	100	106	-6
vs. Pac10	4-3	108	107	+1

Wins: vs. Texas Tech (+13), @Fresno State (+4), @Arizona State (+15), @Virginia (+1), Washington State (+4), @Oregon State (+18)
Losses: Air Force (-63), Santa Clara (-24), @Arizona (-23), California (-2), @Oregon (-18)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Washington	1-7	105	119	-14
vs. Pac10	1-6	103	115	-12

Win: LSU (+26)
Losses: @Gonzaga (-30), @USC (-13), @UCLA (-28), Arizona (-8), @Stanford (-7), @Cal (-9), @Washington State (-41)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Arizona St	0-13	97	111	-14
vs. Pac10	0-8	96	112	-16

Losses: Northern Arizona (-8), Portland State (-6), @Minnesota (-3), @Xavier (-27), Davidson (-8), Stanford (-15), Cal (-2), @Washington State (-34), @Washington (-23), Oregon (-5), Oregon State (-14), @UCLA (-19), @USC (-19)

Team	Record	OffEff	DefEff	Diff
Oregon St	3-11	93	110	-17
vs. Pac10	1-6	99	117	-18

Wins: @Northern Colorado (-4), @Montana State (+13), @Arizona State (-14)
Losses: SE Louisiana (-5), Nevada (-43), @Hawaii (-57), Fresno State (-8), LSU (-11), Oregon (-4), UCLA (-23), USC (-66), @Arizona (-21), Cal (-11), Stanford (-16)