Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Performance in At-risk Games: ACC through 1/23/07

Conference standings by average efficiency margin)
TeamEff MarginRecord
North Carolina+174-1
Duke+163-2
Boston College+96-1
Virginia+53-2
Virginia Tech+44-2
Clemson+34-2
Florida St02-4
Georgia Tech-22-3
Maryland-91-4
Miami, FL-132-5
NC State-131-4
Wake Forest-131-5


Disclaimer: Obviously, all at-risk games (all losses plus road/neutral wins plus home wins against NCAA Tournament teams) are not created equally so I'll provide more information than just the numbers. I am listing teams in order of efficiency margin (points scored per 100 possessions minus points allowed per 100 possessions) simply as an organizational choice. These are not rankings.

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Clemson7-210996+13
vs. ACC4-2109106+3

Wins: vs. Arkansas State (+50), vs. Monmouth (+13), at Old Dominion (+5), @Minnesota (+30), @South Carolina (+29), @Florida State (+4), @NC State (+21)

Losses: @Maryland (-10), North Carolina (-27)

Also: Georgia Tech (-1), Boston College (+32)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
North Carolina5-211099+11
vs. ACC4-110891+17

Wins: vs. Winthrop (+13), vs. Tennessee (+12), Ohio State (+17), @St. Louis (+35), @Clemson (+27)

Losses: vs. Gonzaga (-10), @Virginia Tech (-12)

Also: Kentucky (+18), Penn (+47), Georgia Tech (+22)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Duke4-310898+10
vs. ACC3-210589+16

Wins: vs. Air Force (+25), vs. Gonzaga (+20), @Miami, FL (+36), @NC State (+34)

Losses: vs. Marquette (-21), Virginia Tech (-8), @Georgia Tech (-14)

Also: Indiana (+6), Georgetown (+14)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Virginia Tech6-5108100+8
vs. ACC4-2110106+4

Wins: vs. Montana (+33), vs. Seton Hall (+24), @Duke (+8), @UNC-Greensboro (+34), North Carolina (+12), @Miami, FL (+13)

Losses: vs. Western Michigan (-7), vs. Southern Illinois (-7), @George Washington (-5), @Marshall (-6), @Florida State (-14)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Florida St4-6109107+2
vs. ACC2-41131130

Wins: Florida (+3), @Stetson (+26), @Georgia State (+38), vs. Providence (+41)

Losses: @Pittsburgh (-31), @Wisconsin (-20), Clemson (-4), @North Carolina (-33), @Georgia Tech (-10), @Boston College (+3)

Also: Virginia Tech (+14)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Maryland5-510098+2
vs. ACC1-496105-9

Wins: @St. John's (+41), vs. Michigan State (+4), Winthrop (+13), @Illinois (+7), Clemson (+10)

Losses: vs. Notre Dame (-9), @Boston College (-20), Miami, FL (-12), @Virginia (-20), @Virginia Tech (-5)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Boston College5-5104106-2
vs. ACC6-1114105+9

Wins: Michigan State (+12), @UMass (+15), Maryland (+20), @NC State (+18), @Wake Forest (+16)

Losses: Vermont (-23), @Providence (-15), @Kansas (-25), Duquense (-4), @Clemson (-32)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Georgia Tech3-5106109-3
vs. ACC2-3110112-2

Wins: vs. Purdue (+25), vs. Memphis (+9), Duke (+14)

Losses: vs. UCLA (-26), @Miami, FL (-10), @Vanderbilt (-16), @Clemson (+1), @North Carolina (-22)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Virginia2-6110114-4
vs. ACC3-2106101+5

Wins: Arizona (+11), Gonzaga (+32)

Losses: @Purdue (-1), vs. Appalachian State (-18), vs. Utah (-33), Stanford (-1), @UNC (-15), @Boston College (-8)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
NC State1-798112-14
vs. ACC1-4100113-13

Win: @Wake Forest (+16)

Losses: @Virginia (-9), vs. West Virginia (-21), Alabama (-10), @Cincinnati (-14), Boston College (-18), Clemson (-21), Duke (-34)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Miami, FL3-12101116-15
vs. ACC2-5107120-13

Wins: @Evansville (+11), @UMass (+3), @Maryland (+12)

Losses: vs. Buffalo (-5), vs. Cleveland State (-27), @Northwestern (-13), Mississippi State (-25), Binghamton (-10), @Louisville (-32), vs. Nebraska (-25), Wake Forest (-2), Duke (-36), @Boston College (-33), @Florida State (-32), Virginia Tech (-13)

Also: Georgia Tech (+10)

TeamRecordOffEffDefEffDiff
Wake Forest2-996112-16
vs. ACC1-594107-13

Wins: @Bucknell (+6), @Miami, FL (+2)

Losses: vs. Wake Forest (-57), Georgia (+4), @DePaul (-22), @Virginia Tech (0), @South Florida (-16), Boston College (-16), @Duke (-33), @Virginia (-18)

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